The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the
regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected
by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the
forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.
This report is for advisory number 18 of tropical cyclone LUBAN-18 issued at 12 Oct 2018 6:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 1000518). However, the calculation for advisory number is not completed. Therefore, the latest available calculation is shown. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation.
Summary
| Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h): | 4 thousand |
| Saffir-Simpson Category: | Category 1 |
| Maximum sustained wind speed: | 133 Km/h |
| he maximum Storm surge height is: | 
0.4m
in Deh-Cabo, Somalia.
|
Storm surge
View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open
 Storm surge maximum height HWRF ( Source: JRC) |
 Max windspeed HWRF ( Source: ECMWF) |
Evolution
| Legend |
| people affected <=10000 |
| people affected >10000 and <100000 |
| people affected >100000 |
| Calculation | Alert color | Date (UTC) | Wind speed | Population affected
winds(>120km/h) | TS | CAT. 1 | CAT. 2 | CAT. 3 | CAT. 4 | CAT. 5 | Countries |
| 1 | | 20181008.00 | 113 km/h (70 mph) | No people | | | | | | | |
| 2 | | 20181008.06 | 134 km/h (83 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 3 | | 20181008.12 | 122 km/h (76 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 4 | | 20181008.18 | 113 km/h (70 mph) | No people | | | | | | | Oman |
| 5 | | 20181009.00 | 154 km/h (96 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Oman |
| 6 | | 20181009.06 | 158 km/h (98 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 7 | | 20181009.12 | 157 km/h (97 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Oman |
| 8 | | 20181009.18 | 134 km/h (83 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 9 | | 20181010.00 | 118 km/h (73 mph) | No people | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 10 | | 20181010.06 | 137 km/h (85 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 11 | | 20181010.12 | 137 km/h (85 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 12 | | 20181010.18 | 149 km/h (92 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 13 | | 20181011.00 | 137 km/h (85 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 14 | | 20181011.06 | 129 km/h (80 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 15 | | 20181012.00 | 139 km/h (86 mph) | Few people | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 16 | | 20181012.06 | 140 km/h (87 mph) | 2 thousand | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen, Somalia |
| 17 | | 20181012.12 | 139 km/h (86 mph) | 2 thousand | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 18 | | 20181012.18 | 133 km/h (82 mph) | 4 thousand | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen, Somalia |
| 19 | | 20181013.00 | 133 km/h (82 mph) | Few people | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 20 | | 20181013.06 | 126 km/h (78 mph) | Few people | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 21 | | 20181013.12 | 122 km/h (75 mph) | Few people | | | | | | | Oman, Yemen |
| 22 | | 20181013.18 | 105 km/h (65 mph) | No people | | | | | | | Yemen, Oman |
| 23 | | 20181014.00 | 90 km/h (56 mph) | No people | | | | | | | Saudi Arabia, Oman, Yemen |
| 24 | | 20181014.06 | 71 km/h (44 mph) | No people | | | | | | | Iran, Yemen |
Affected locations
| Alert |
Date (UTC) |
Name |
Country |
Storm surge height (m)
|
|
12 Oct 2018 19:00 |
Deh-Cabo
|
Somalia |
0.4 |
|
|
14 Oct 2018 08:30 |
Qishn
|
Yemen |
0.4 |
|
|
12 Oct 2018 21:15 |
Tabut
|
Yemen |
0.4 |
|
|
12 Oct 2018 21:15 |
Hayrut
|
Yemen |
0.4 |
|
|
12 Oct 2018 21:15 |
Nishtun
|
Yemen |
0.4 |
|
|
14 Oct 2018 12:00 |
Tamnum
|
Yemen |
0.3 |
|
|
14 Oct 2018 12:00 |
Sharkhat
|
Yemen |
0.3 |
|
|
14 Oct 2018 09:15 |
Al Qumrah
|
Yemen |
0.3 |
|
|
14 Oct 2018 09:15 |
Itab
|
Yemen |
0.3 |
|
|
14 Oct 2018 12:00 |
Musaina'a
|
Yemen |
0.3 |
|
|
14 Oct 2018 11:45 |
Sarar
|
Yemen |
0.3 |
|
|
14 Oct 2018 11:45 |
Raida
|
Yemen |
0.3 |
|
|
14 Oct 2018 11:45 |
Hasana
|
Yemen |
0.3 |
|
|
13 Oct 2018 03:00 |
Bargaal
|
Somalia |
0.3 |
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 201)
Calculation based on advisory number of 12 Oct 2018 18:00.
(Simulation using minute resolution)
See full locations list (RSS)
More information
The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction.
The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model.
For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.
