WTNT82 EGRR 050407



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 05.10.2017



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION RAMON      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.0N 101.6W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 05.10.2017    0  15.0N 101.6W     1004            26

    1200UTC 05.10.2017   12              CEASED TRACKING



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16L        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N  82.9W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 05.10.2017    0  12.3N  82.9W     1005            25

    1200UTC 05.10.2017   12  13.3N  82.7W     1002            29

    0000UTC 06.10.2017   24  16.3N  83.3W      996            35

    1200UTC 06.10.2017   36  19.5N  84.9W      988            47

    0000UTC 07.10.2017   48  22.8N  87.1W      985            53

    1200UTC 07.10.2017   60  26.3N  89.3W      984            57

    0000UTC 08.10.2017   72  29.5N  89.8W      982            57

    1200UTC 08.10.2017   84  31.9N  88.3W      992            23

    0000UTC 09.10.2017   96  34.2N  85.1W      999            20

    1200UTC 09.10.2017  108  36.1N  81.1W     1006            18

    0000UTC 10.10.2017  120  37.5N  78.0W     1010            21

    1200UTC 10.10.2017  132  38.8N  75.0W     1012            23

    0000UTC 11.10.2017  144              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 32.7N  40.1W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 08.10.2017   72  32.7N  40.8W     1012            29

    1200UTC 08.10.2017   84  32.4N  42.7W     1011            28

    0000UTC 09.10.2017   96  31.3N  45.7W     1012            26

    1200UTC 09.10.2017  108  30.8N  48.0W     1012            26

    0000UTC 10.10.2017  120              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 29.2N  56.6W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 11.10.2017  144  29.2N  56.6W     1008            30





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 050407