WTNT82 EGRR 060406



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 06.10.2017



        TROPICAL STORM NATE       ANALYSED POSITION : 15.3N  83.5W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 06.10.2017    0  15.3N  83.5W      999            39

    1200UTC 06.10.2017   12  18.5N  84.7W      993            40

    0000UTC 07.10.2017   24  21.9N  86.5W      990            46

    1200UTC 07.10.2017   36  25.6N  89.1W      983            56

    0000UTC 08.10.2017   48  28.2N  90.0W      976            59

    1200UTC 08.10.2017   60  30.8N  88.3W      971            52

    0000UTC 09.10.2017   72  34.3N  85.0W      984            30

    1200UTC 09.10.2017   84  37.7N  79.9W      996            24

    0000UTC 10.10.2017   96  40.5N  73.8W     1001            39

    1200UTC 10.10.2017  108  42.0N  69.1W     1004            35

    0000UTC 11.10.2017  120              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 32.4N  38.4W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 07.10.2017   24  32.2N  38.5W     1015            28

    1200UTC 07.10.2017   36  33.0N  38.9W     1013            31

    0000UTC 08.10.2017   48  32.3N  41.3W     1012            30

    1200UTC 08.10.2017   60  30.2N  42.2W     1011            28

    0000UTC 09.10.2017   72              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 31.1N 150.0W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 07.10.2017   36  31.1N 150.0W     1005            34

    0000UTC 08.10.2017   48  30.3N 153.4W     1007            27

    1200UTC 08.10.2017   60  29.5N 154.9W     1009            25

    0000UTC 09.10.2017   72  30.3N 154.0W     1011            20

    1200UTC 09.10.2017   84              CEASED TRACKING





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 060406