WTNT82 EGRR 070407



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 07.10.2017



        TROPICAL STORM NATE       ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N  85.7W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 07.10.2017    0  21.4N  85.7W      988            54

    1200UTC 07.10.2017   12  25.5N  87.7W      982            65

    0000UTC 08.10.2017   24  28.9N  89.5W      981            54

    1200UTC 08.10.2017   36  31.5N  88.2W      988            36

    0000UTC 09.10.2017   48  35.5N  85.6W      996            22

    1200UTC 09.10.2017   60  40.0N  79.6W     1003            23

    0000UTC 10.10.2017   72  42.9N  71.9W     1005            34

    1200UTC 10.10.2017   84  44.7N  65.1W     1006            30

    0000UTC 11.10.2017   96              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 33.1N  38.2W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 07.10.2017   12  32.6N  39.7W     1014            32

    0000UTC 08.10.2017   24  31.6N  39.2W     1012            28

    1200UTC 08.10.2017   36  30.7N  39.8W     1012            27

    0000UTC 09.10.2017   48  30.3N  41.0W     1013            24

    1200UTC 09.10.2017   60              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 29.7N 153.4W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 08.10.2017   24  29.7N 153.4W     1006            29

    1200UTC 08.10.2017   36  29.5N 154.0W     1008            23

    0000UTC 09.10.2017   48  31.2N 153.5W     1009            29

    1200UTC 09.10.2017   60  32.0N 154.3W     1011            27

    0000UTC 10.10.2017   72              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 :  9.4N  34.5W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 10.10.2017   84   9.4N  34.5W     1009            32

    0000UTC 11.10.2017   96  10.7N  38.0W     1009            32

    1200UTC 11.10.2017  108  11.2N  42.0W     1007            32

    0000UTC 12.10.2017  120  11.4N  45.4W     1006            32

    1200UTC 12.10.2017  132  11.7N  48.7W     1005            35

    0000UTC 13.10.2017  144  12.4N  51.6W     1005            34





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 070407