WTNT82 EGRR 091604



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 09.10.2017



        TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 31.4N  39.8W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 09.10.2017    0  31.4N  39.8W     1009            33

    0000UTC 10.10.2017   12  32.2N  39.4W     1004            39

    1200UTC 10.10.2017   24  31.9N  39.4W      998            40

    0000UTC 11.10.2017   36  31.1N  38.9W      995            43

    1200UTC 11.10.2017   48  30.0N  38.7W      992            45

    0000UTC 12.10.2017   60  28.9N  38.3W      990            51

    1200UTC 12.10.2017   72  29.1N  37.3W      985            57

    0000UTC 13.10.2017   84  29.7N  37.1W      982            59

    1200UTC 13.10.2017   96  30.5N  36.6W      980            57

    0000UTC 14.10.2017  108  31.3N  35.3W      978            61

    1200UTC 14.10.2017  120  32.0N  32.8W      974            65

    0000UTC 15.10.2017  132  32.2N  29.5W      973            65

    1200UTC 15.10.2017  144  32.3N  26.7W      971            76



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 10.5N 145.2W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 11.10.2017   36  10.9N 145.6W     1005            25

    1200UTC 11.10.2017   48  11.9N 146.4W     1005            27

    0000UTC 12.10.2017   60  12.7N 147.0W     1005            25

    1200UTC 12.10.2017   72  13.3N 148.1W     1006            24

    0000UTC 13.10.2017   84  13.5N 149.8W     1006            22

    1200UTC 13.10.2017   96              CEASED TRACKING





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 091603