WTNT82 EGRR 111604



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 11.10.2017



        TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 30.0N  36.6W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 11.10.2017    0  30.0N  36.6W      993            43

    0000UTC 12.10.2017   12  30.0N  35.9W      990            43

    1200UTC 12.10.2017   24  30.8N  36.0W      988            44

    0000UTC 13.10.2017   36  31.2N  35.6W      988            50

    1200UTC 13.10.2017   48  32.1N  34.0W      986            55

    0000UTC 14.10.2017   60  33.3N  31.0W      979            61

    1200UTC 14.10.2017   72  34.9N  27.0W      966            70

    0000UTC 15.10.2017   84  36.9N  22.2W      962            71

    1200UTC 15.10.2017   96  41.1N  17.3W      961            75

    0000UTC 16.10.2017  108  45.7N  15.0W      957            75

    1200UTC 16.10.2017  120  50.5N  11.0W      961            57

    0000UTC 17.10.2017  132              POST-TROPICAL



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 15.6N 121.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 16.10.2017  108  15.6N 121.3W     1005            24

    1200UTC 16.10.2017  120  17.5N 124.0W     1005            27

    0000UTC 17.10.2017  132  19.2N 126.5W     1004            36

    1200UTC 17.10.2017  144  21.3N 128.7W     1004            41





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 111603