WTNT82 EGRR 141604



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 14.10.2017



             HURRICANE OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 34.3N  27.6W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 14.10.2017    0  34.3N  27.6W      969            71

    0000UTC 15.10.2017   12  36.9N  22.6W      964            74

    1200UTC 15.10.2017   24  41.4N  16.9W      962            79

    0000UTC 16.10.2017   36  48.3N  13.8W      952            81

    1200UTC 16.10.2017   48  53.1N   9.6W      960            56

    0000UTC 17.10.2017   60              POST-TROPICAL



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 30.0N  69.2W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 17.10.2017   72  31.4N  68.0W     1009            37

    0000UTC 18.10.2017   84  33.4N  64.5W     1004            43

    1200UTC 18.10.2017   96  35.4N  60.3W     1006            41

    0000UTC 19.10.2017  108  36.4N  54.9W     1008            37

    1200UTC 19.10.2017  120  35.9N  50.9W     1013            47

    0000UTC 20.10.2017  132  35.2N  49.0W     1014            32

    1200UTC 20.10.2017  144  36.1N  48.8W     1014            29





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 141604