WTNT82 EGRR 150404



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 15.10.2017



             HURRICANE OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 36.7N  22.7W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 15.10.2017    0  36.7N  22.7W      967            70

    1200UTC 15.10.2017   12  40.9N  16.9W      966            77

    0000UTC 16.10.2017   24  48.3N  14.3W      954            82

    1200UTC 16.10.2017   36  53.0N  10.0W      959            58

    0000UTC 17.10.2017   48              POST-TROPICAL



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 29.7N  69.1W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 17.10.2017   60  30.9N  68.0W     1009            36

    0000UTC 18.10.2017   72  32.8N  65.4W     1007            44

    1200UTC 18.10.2017   84  34.8N  62.2W     1007            40

    0000UTC 19.10.2017   96  35.6N  58.1W     1008            42

    1200UTC 19.10.2017  108  35.3N  55.7W     1011            43

    0000UTC 20.10.2017  120  35.3N  54.4W     1012            26

    1200UTC 20.10.2017  132  36.7N  52.1W     1010            29

    0000UTC 21.10.2017  144              CEASED TRACKING





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 150404