WTXS31 PGTW 021500 RRA

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (DAHLIA) WARNING NR 011//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (DAHLIA) WARNING NR 011

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   021200Z --- NEAR 11.2S 112.0E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 07 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S 112.0E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   030000Z --- 12.6S 112.1E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   031200Z --- 14.6S 111.8E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT