WTXS51 PGTW 011500 WARNING ATCG MIL 01S SIO 171201144654 2017120112 01S DAHLIA 007 01 110 09 SATL 040 T000 105S 1105E 050 R050 050 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 095 NW QD T012 113S 1108E 055 R050 035 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 075 NW QD T024 120S 1107E 060 R050 035 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD T036 132S 1103E 065 R064 015 NE QD 005 SE QD 005 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 055 NW QD T048 150S 1100E 065 R064 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD T072 182S 1108E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 203S 1124E 035 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD T120 210S 1148E 020 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (DAHLIA) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (DAHLIA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z --- NEAR 10.5S 110.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S 110.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 11.3S 110.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 12.0S 110.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 13.2S 110.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 15.0S 110.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 18.2S 110.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 20.3S 112.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 21.0S 114.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z POSITION NEAR 10.7S 110.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (DAHLIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 738 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z AND 021500Z. // 0117112718 74S 978E 25 0117112800 77S 984E 25 0117112806 80S 991E 25 0117112812 82S 998E 25 0117112818 84S1004E 25 0117112900 85S1010E 30 0117112906 88S1019E 30 0117112912 89S1029E 30 0117112918 89S1034E 30 0117113000 89S1044E 35 0117113006 89S1062E 40 0117113012 93S1076E 45 0117113018 96S1081E 45 0117120100 97S1090E 50 0117120100 97S1090E 50 0117120106 102S1096E 50 0117120106 102S1096E 50 0117120112 105S1105E 50 0117120112 105S1105E 50