WTXS31 PGTW 030900 RRA

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 003//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 003

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   030600Z --- NEAR 15.4S 52.9E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 04 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S 52.9E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   031800Z --- 15.9S 52.6E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   040600Z --- 16.5S 51.9E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT