WTXS51 PGTW 050900 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 180105074627 2018010506 03S AVA 011 01 225 08 SATL 020 T000 179S 0500E 095 R064 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 145 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 187S 0493E 090 R064 030 NE QD 015 SE QD 025 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 198S 0489E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 195 NE QD 185 SE QD 095 SW QD 060 NW QD T036 214S 0487E 080 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 195 NE QD 195 SE QD 105 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 228S 0486E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 220 SE QD 135 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 247S 0485E 080 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 220 SE QD 135 SW QD 095 NW QD T096 269S 0477E 070 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 185 SE QD 110 SW QD 075 NW QD T120 287S 0484E 065 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 145 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 011 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z --- NEAR 17.9S 50.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S 50.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 18.7S 49.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 19.8S 48.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 21.4S 48.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 22.8S 48.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 24.7S 48.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 26.9S 47.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 28.7S 48.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 050900Z POSITION NEAR 18.1S 49.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 338 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z. // 0317122918 121S 662E 25 0317123000 121S 655E 25 0317123006 122S 648E 25 0317123012 124S 642E 25 0317123018 127S 637E 25 0317123100 130S 632E 25 0317123106 135S 626E 25 0317123112 138S 622E 25 0317123118 141S 616E 25 0318010100 143S 610E 25 0318010106 146S 600E 25 0318010112 149S 592E 25 0318010118 152S 579E 25 0318010200 153S 563E 25 0318010206 154S 550E 25 0318010212 154S 540E 30 0318010218 154S 533E 35 0318010300 152S 526E 40 0318010306 154S 529E 40 0318010312 160S 531E 40 0318010318 167S 529E 40 0318010400 173S 525E 45 0318010406 173S 520E 50 0318010412 174S 514E 55 0318010412 174S 514E 55 0318010418 173S 510E 60 0318010418 173S 510E 60 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010506 179S 500E 95