WTXS51 PGTW 051500 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 180105134234 2018010512 03S AVA 012 01 240 06 SATL 025 T000 182S 0494E 090 R064 050 NE QD 025 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 050 SE QD 080 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 100 SE QD 145 SW QD 105 NW QD T012 190S 0488E 070 R064 040 NE QD 015 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 165 SE QD 075 SW QD 085 NW QD T024 204S 0485E 065 R064 040 NE QD 015 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 030 SE QD 055 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 170 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 219S 0485E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 200 SE QD 150 SW QD 085 NW QD T048 235S 0485E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 210 SE QD 165 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 255S 0481E 065 R064 040 NE QD 015 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 215 SE QD 150 SW QD 075 NW QD T096 272S 0479E 065 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 135 SE QD 050 SW QD 005 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 120 NW QD T120 289S 0491E 055 R050 065 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 220 SE QD 160 SW QD 180 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 012 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z --- NEAR 18.2S 49.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S 49.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 19.0S 48.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 20.4S 48.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 21.9S 48.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 23.5S 48.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 25.5S 48.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 27.2S 47.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 28.9S 49.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 051500Z POSITION NEAR 18.4S 49.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 361 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z. // 0317122918 121S 662E 25 0317123000 121S 655E 25 0317123006 122S 648E 25 0317123012 124S 642E 25 0317123018 127S 637E 25 0317123100 130S 632E 25 0317123106 135S 626E 25 0317123112 138S 622E 25 0317123118 141S 616E 25 0318010100 143S 610E 25 0318010106 146S 600E 25 0318010112 149S 592E 25 0318010118 152S 579E 25 0318010200 153S 563E 25 0318010206 154S 550E 25 0318010212 154S 540E 30 0318010218 154S 533E 35 0318010300 152S 526E 40 0318010306 154S 529E 40 0318010312 160S 531E 40 0318010318 167S 529E 40 0318010400 173S 525E 45 0318010406 173S 520E 50 0318010412 174S 514E 55 0318010412 174S 514E 55 0318010418 173S 510E 60 0318010418 173S 510E 60 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010512 182S 494E 90