WTXS51 PGTW 062100 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 180106194048 2018010618 03S AVA 017 02 165 09 SATL 060 T000 212S 0481E 040 R034 080 NE QD 160 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T012 220S 0484E 040 R034 125 NE QD 245 SE QD 145 SW QD 125 NW QD T024 234S 0488E 040 R034 135 NE QD 250 SE QD 125 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 246S 0485E 045 R034 125 NE QD 230 SE QD 105 SW QD 080 NW QD T048 256S 0480E 050 R050 045 NE QD 060 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 205 SE QD 095 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 274S 0486E 040 R034 150 NE QD 165 SE QD 135 SW QD 140 NW QD T096 283S 0510E 035 R034 125 NE QD 165 SE QD 205 SW QD 195 NW QD T120 278S 0526E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z --- NEAR 21.2S 48.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.2S 48.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 22.0S 48.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 23.4S 48.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 24.6S 48.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 25.6S 48.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 27.4S 48.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 28.3S 51.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 27.8S 52.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z POSITION NEAR 21.4S 48.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (AVA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 406 NM WEST OF ST DENIS, LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 0317122918 121S 662E 25 0317123000 121S 655E 25 0317123006 122S 648E 25 0317123012 124S 642E 25 0317123018 127S 637E 25 0317123100 130S 632E 25 0317123106 135S 626E 25 0317123112 138S 622E 25 0317123118 141S 616E 25 0318010100 143S 610E 25 0318010106 146S 600E 25 0318010112 149S 592E 25 0318010118 152S 579E 25 0318010200 153S 563E 25 0318010206 154S 550E 25 0318010212 154S 540E 30 0318010218 154S 533E 35 0318010300 152S 526E 40 0318010306 154S 529E 40 0318010312 160S 531E 40 0318010318 167S 529E 40 0318010400 173S 525E 45 0318010406 173S 520E 50 0318010412 174S 514E 55 0318010412 174S 514E 55 0318010418 173S 510E 60 0318010418 173S 510E 60 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010518 185S 489E 65 0318010518 185S 489E 65 0318010518 185S 489E 65 0318010600 191S 483E 60 0318010600 191S 483E 60 0318010606 196S 479E 55 0318010606 196S 479E 55 0318010612 203S 478E 50 0318010612 203S 478E 50 0318010618 212S 481E 40