WTXS51 PGTW 070900 WARNING ATCG MIL 03S SIO 180107090258 2018010706 03S AVA 019 02 135 08 SATL 060 T000 227S 0490E 035 R034 155 NE QD 175 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD T012 238S 0491E 035 R034 155 NE QD 250 SE QD 135 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 249S 0490E 040 R034 155 NE QD 250 SE QD 165 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 260S 0488E 045 R034 175 NE QD 220 SE QD 155 SW QD 085 NW QD T048 271S 0488E 040 R034 180 NE QD 200 SE QD 140 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 291S 0508E 035 R034 165 NE QD 175 SE QD 190 SW QD 175 NW QD T096 299S 0563E 025 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 019 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (AVA) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z --- NEAR 22.7S 49.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7S 49.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 23.8S 49.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 24.9S 49.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 26.0S 48.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 27.1S 48.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 29.1S 50.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 29.9S 56.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070900Z POSITION NEAR 23.0S 49.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (AVA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z, 080300Z AND 080900Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 0317122918 121S 662E 25 0317123000 121S 655E 25 0317123006 122S 648E 25 0317123012 124S 642E 25 0317123018 127S 637E 25 0317123100 130S 632E 25 0317123106 135S 626E 25 0317123112 138S 622E 25 0317123118 141S 616E 25 0318010100 143S 610E 25 0318010106 146S 600E 25 0318010112 149S 592E 25 0318010118 152S 579E 25 0318010200 153S 563E 25 0318010206 154S 550E 25 0318010212 154S 540E 30 0318010218 154S 533E 35 0318010300 152S 526E 40 0318010306 154S 529E 40 0318010312 160S 531E 40 0318010318 167S 529E 40 0318010400 173S 525E 45 0318010406 173S 520E 50 0318010412 174S 514E 55 0318010412 174S 514E 55 0318010418 173S 510E 60 0318010418 173S 510E 60 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010500 173S 506E 75 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010506 179S 500E 95 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010512 182S 494E 90 0318010518 185S 489E 65 0318010518 185S 489E 65 0318010518 185S 489E 65 0318010600 191S 483E 60 0318010600 191S 483E 60 0318010606 196S 479E 55 0318010606 196S 479E 55 0318010612 203S 478E 50 0318010612 203S 478E 50 0318010618 213S 481E 40 0318010700 221S 484E 35 0318010706 227S 490E 35