WTXS52 PGTW 071500 WARNING ATCG MIL 04S SIO 180107151219 2018010712 04S IRVING 007 02 245 15 SATL 045 T000 145S 0843E 075 R064 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 190 SE QD 165 SW QD 105 NW QD T012 158S 0817E 080 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 095 SE QD 075 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 105 NW QD T024 172S 0796E 085 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 210 SE QD 160 SW QD 105 NW QD T036 193S 0765E 090 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 220 SE QD 165 SW QD 105 NW QD T048 215S 0737E 085 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 115 SE QD 080 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 205 NE QD 235 SE QD 175 SW QD 095 NW QD T072 281S 0683E 055 R050 065 NE QD 075 SE QD 035 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 220 SE QD 135 SW QD 080 NW QD T096 390S 0713E 040 R034 245 NE QD 200 SE QD 070 SW QD 190 NW QD AMP 072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 096HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (IRVING) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (IRVING) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z --- NEAR 14.5S 84.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S 84.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 15.8S 81.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 17.2S 79.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 19.3S 76.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 21.5S 73.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 28.1S 68.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 28 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 39.0S 71.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 245 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 071500Z POSITION NEAR 14.8S 83.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (IRVING), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 825 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND 081500Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 0418010406 98S 947E 20 0418010412 101S 946E 20 0418010418 104S 944E 20 0418010500 107S 940E 20 0418010506 112S 938E 25 0418010512 119S 933E 25 0418010518 123S 925E 30 0418010600 125S 916E 35 0418010606 126S 904E 35 0418010612 128S 893E 40 0418010618 129S 882E 45 0418010700 134S 870E 55 0418010700 134S 870E 55 0418010706 139S 857E 65 0418010706 139S 857E 65 0418010706 139S 857E 65 0418010712 145S 843E 75 0418010712 145S 843E 75 0418010712 145S 843E 75