WTXS51 PGTW 152100 WARNING ATCG MIL 06S SIO 180115201849 2018011518 06S BERGUITTA 013 01 255 04 SATL 030 T000 181S 0626E 100 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 185 SE QD 170 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 183S 0617E 105 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 185 SE QD 170 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 186S 0607E 105 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 190 SE QD 180 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 191S 0595E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 190 SE QD 180 SW QD 125 NW QD T048 201S 0581E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 190 SE QD 180 SW QD 125 NW QD T072 225S 0547E 090 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 085 SE QD 070 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 190 SE QD 180 SW QD 125 NW QD T096 261S 0520E 080 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 200 SE QD 170 SW QD 105 NW QD T120 312S 0511E 055 R050 055 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 100 NW QD AMP 096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 120HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 013 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z --- NEAR 18.1S 62.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S 62.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 18.3S 61.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 18.6S 60.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 19.1S 59.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 20.1S 58.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 22.5S 54.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 26.1S 52.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 31.2S 51.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION NEAR 18.1S 62.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 324 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z AND 162100Z. // 0618011100 130S 679E 15 0618011106 131S 683E 20 0618011112 137S 687E 30 0618011118 146S 690E 30 0618011200 153S 690E 30 0618011206 162S 685E 30 0618011212 168S 676E 30 0618011218 170S 669E 35 0618011300 174S 658E 35 0618011306 176S 651E 40 0618011312 181S 644E 40 0618011318 182S 638E 40 0618011400 182S 634E 50 0618011400 182S 634E 50 0618011406 182S 632E 55 0618011406 182S 632E 55 0618011412 181S 631E 55 0618011412 181S 631E 55 0618011418 180S 631E 55 0618011418 180S 631E 55 0618011500 178S 632E 65 0618011500 178S 632E 65 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011512 180S 630E 90 0618011512 180S 630E 90 0618011512 180S 630E 90 0618011518 181S 626E 100 0618011518 181S 626E 100 0618011518 181S 626E 100