WTXS51 PGTW 161500 WARNING ATCG MIL 06S SIO 180116131313 2018011612 06S BERGUITTA 016 01 245 05 SATL 025 T000 182S 0611E 085 R064 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 095 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 170 SE QD 115 SW QD 120 NW QD T012 187S 0602E 085 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 270 SE QD 250 SW QD 115 NW QD T024 194S 0590E 085 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 265 SE QD 250 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 204S 0575E 085 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 255 SE QD 235 SW QD 130 NW QD T048 218S 0552E 085 R064 015 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 230 SE QD 245 SW QD 135 NW QD T072 245S 0519E 075 R064 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 220 SE QD 205 SW QD 115 NW QD T096 290S 0501E 060 R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 215 SE QD 205 SW QD 145 NW QD T120 337S 0512E 045 R034 225 NE QD 255 SE QD 205 SW QD 185 NW QD AMP 096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 120HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 016 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z --- NEAR 18.2S 61.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S 61.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 18.7S 60.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 19.4S 59.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 20.4S 57.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 255 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 235 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 21.8S 55.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 245 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 24.5S 51.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 29.0S 50.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 33.7S 51.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 255 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 161500Z POSITION NEAR 18.3S 60.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 244 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z, 170300Z, 170900Z AND 171500Z. // 0618011100 130S 679E 15 0618011106 131S 683E 20 0618011112 137S 687E 30 0618011118 146S 690E 30 0618011200 153S 690E 30 0618011206 162S 685E 30 0618011212 168S 676E 30 0618011218 170S 669E 35 0618011300 174S 658E 35 0618011306 176S 651E 40 0618011312 181S 644E 40 0618011318 182S 638E 40 0618011400 182S 634E 50 0618011400 182S 634E 50 0618011406 182S 632E 55 0618011406 182S 632E 55 0618011412 181S 631E 55 0618011412 181S 631E 55 0618011418 180S 631E 55 0618011418 180S 631E 55 0618011500 178S 632E 65 0618011500 178S 632E 65 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011512 180S 630E 90 0618011512 180S 630E 90 0618011512 180S 630E 90 0618011518 180S 626E 100 0618011518 180S 626E 100 0618011518 180S 626E 100 0618011600 180S 621E 100 0618011600 180S 621E 100 0618011600 180S 621E 100 0618011606 180S 616E 95 0618011606 180S 616E 95 0618011606 180S 616E 95 0618011612 182S 611E 85 0618011612 182S 611E 85 0618011612 182S 611E 85