WTXS51 PGTW 170900 WARNING ATCG MIL 06S SIO 180117073341 2018011706 06S BERGUITTA 019 01 270 04 SATL 025 T000 181S 0602E 070 R064 005 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 015 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 090 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD T012 190S 0590E 070 R064 015 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 075 SE QD 065 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 230 SE QD 260 SW QD 120 NW QD T024 201S 0574E 070 R064 020 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 240 SE QD 215 SW QD 125 NW QD T036 214S 0554E 070 R064 015 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 250 SE QD 220 SW QD 125 NW QD T048 228S 0535E 065 R064 020 NE QD 045 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 240 SE QD 215 SW QD 120 NW QD T072 267S 0511E 055 R050 085 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 220 SE QD 175 SW QD 105 NW QD T096 310S 0514E 050 R050 045 NE QD 075 SE QD 085 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 240 SE QD 210 SW QD 160 NW QD T120 338S 0554E 045 R034 165 NE QD 320 SE QD 280 SW QD 235 NW QD AMP 072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 120HR EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 019 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z --- NEAR 18.1S 60.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S 60.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 19.0S 59.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 20.1S 57.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 21.4S 55.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 22.8S 53.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 26.7S 51.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 31.0S 51.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 33.8S 55.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 280 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 235 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 170900Z POSITION NEAR 18.3S 59.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 204 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIU, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z, 172100Z, 180300Z AND 180900Z. // 0618011100 130S 679E 15 0618011106 131S 683E 20 0618011112 137S 687E 30 0618011118 146S 690E 30 0618011200 153S 690E 30 0618011206 162S 685E 30 0618011212 168S 676E 30 0618011218 170S 669E 35 0618011300 174S 658E 35 0618011306 176S 651E 40 0618011312 181S 644E 40 0618011318 182S 638E 40 0618011400 182S 634E 50 0618011400 182S 634E 50 0618011406 182S 632E 55 0618011406 182S 632E 55 0618011412 181S 631E 55 0618011412 181S 631E 55 0618011418 180S 631E 55 0618011418 180S 631E 55 0618011500 178S 632E 65 0618011500 178S 632E 65 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011506 178S 632E 75 0618011512 180S 630E 90 0618011512 180S 630E 90 0618011512 180S 630E 90 0618011518 180S 626E 100 0618011518 180S 626E 100 0618011518 180S 626E 100 0618011600 180S 621E 100 0618011600 180S 621E 100 0618011600 180S 621E 100 0618011606 180S 616E 95 0618011606 180S 616E 95 0618011606 180S 616E 95 0618011612 181S 612E 85 0618011612 181S 612E 85 0618011612 181S 612E 85 0618011618 181S 609E 80 0618011618 181S 609E 80 0618011618 181S 609E 80 0618011700 181S 606E 75 0618011700 181S 606E 75 0618011700 181S 606E 75 0618011706 181S 602E 70 0618011706 181S 602E 70 0618011706 181S 602E 70