WTIO20 FMEE 040019

PANPAN

HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)

ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 04/02/2018

AT

0000 UTC.

WARNING NUMBER: 001/5 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)



10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)

(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)

MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)

(INDICATIVE FIGURE).



HURRICANE WARNING

BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 04/02/2018 AT 0000 UTC.



PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 5  (CEBILE)  968 HPA

POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.7 S / 79.2 E

(NINETEEN    DECIMAL SEVEN   DEGREES SOUTH AND

SEVENTY NINE    DECIMAL TWO   DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC

MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 7 KT



THREAT AREAS:

SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP

TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN A

45 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 55 NM IN THE

SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 60 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 60 NM

RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 75 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN

QUADRANT, UP TO 85 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 90 NM

IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 85 NM

RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 110 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN

QUADRANT, UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 130 NM

IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 120

NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE

SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 160 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT

AND UP TO 210 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.



HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN A

45 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 55 NM IN THE

SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 60 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 60 NM

RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 75 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN

QUADRANT, UP TO 85 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 90 NM

IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 85 NM

RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 110 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN

QUADRANT, UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 130 NM

IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 120

NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE

SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 160 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT

AND UP TO 210 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:

12H, VALID 2018/02/04 AT 12 UTC:

20.9 S / 79.9 E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM

24H, VALID 2018/02/05 AT 00 UTC:

22.4 S / 80.4 E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM



OTHER INFORMATIONS:

NIL.=