WTIO20 FMEE 041813

SECURITE

STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)

ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 04/02/2018

AT

1800 UTC.

WARNING NUMBER: 035/5 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)



10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)

(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)

MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)

(INDICATIVE FIGURE).



STORM WARNING

BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 04/02/2018 AT 1800 UTC.



PHENOMENON: POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5  (EX-CEBILE)  973 HPA

POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.7 S / 80.6 E

(TWENTY ONE    DECIMAL SEVEN   DEGREES SOUTH AND

EIGHTY    DECIMAL SIX   DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC

MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 9 KT



THREAT AREAS:

SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 250 MN FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE

SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 50 NM

RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 65 NM IN THE SOUTHERN

SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 85 NM

RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 115 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN

QUADRANT AND UP TO 125 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 110

NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 185 NM IN THE

SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 190 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT

AND UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.



FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:

12H, VALID 2018/02/05 AT 06 UTC:

23.2 S / 80.9 E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION

24H, VALID 2018/02/05 AT 18 UTC:

24.6 S / 81.0 E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION



OTHER INFORMATIONS:

ASCAT DATA AT 16Z HAS SHOWN THAT WINDS ARE STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY

ESTIMATED.=