WTIO20 FMEE 300023

PANPAN

HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)

ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 30/01/2018

AT

0000 UTC.

WARNING NUMBER: 012/5 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)



10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)

(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)

MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)

(INDICATIVE FIGURE).



HURRICANE WARNING

BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/01/2018 AT 0000 UTC.



PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 5  (CEBILE)  958 HPA

POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0 S / 80.4 E

(SIXTEEN    DECIMAL ZERO   DEGREES SOUTH AND

EIGHTY    DECIMAL FOUR   DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC

MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT



THREAT AREAS:

SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP

TO 250 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS

WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 45 NM IN THE

SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 50 NM

RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 55 NM IN THE SOUTHERN

SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 70 NM

RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 75 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN

QUADRANT AND UP TO 85 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 95

NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 110 NM IN THE

NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 160 NM IN THE SOUTH-WESTERN QUADRANT

AND UP TO 170 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.

STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.





FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:

12H, VALID 2018/01/30 AT 12 UTC:

16.1 S / 79.5 E, MAX WIND = 95 KT, INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE

24H, VALID 2018/01/31 AT 00 UTC:

16.0 S / 78.6 E, MAX WIND = 105 KT, INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE



OTHER INFORMATIONS:

INNER CORE WINDS RADII HAS INCREASED AS THE SYSTEM IS COMPLETED AN

EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE.=