WTXS51 PGTW 041500 WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 180204140323 2018020412 07S CEBILE 035 01 150 07 SATL 035 T000 209S 0802E 060 R050 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD T012 221S 0807E 050 R050 055 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 150 SE QD 115 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 236S 0810E 045 R034 170 NE QD 165 SE QD 130 SW QD 080 NW QD T036 249S 0810E 040 R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 135 SW QD 080 NW QD T048 261S 0808E 040 R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 075 NW QD T072 273S 0797E 035 R034 135 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD T096 278S 0776E 030 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 035 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z --- NEAR 20.9S 80.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.9S 80.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 22.1S 80.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 23.6S 81.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 24.9S 81.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 26.1S 80.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 27.3S 79.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 27.8S 77.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 041500Z POSITION NEAR 21.2S 80.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 941 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z, 050300Z, 050900Z AND 051500Z. // 0718012412 93S 792E 15 0718012418 93S 795E 15 0718012500 93S 798E 20 0718012506 93S 801E 25 0718012512 96S 807E 30 0718012518 98S 814E 30 0718012600 102S 821E 30 0718012606 103S 826E 30 0718012612 103S 831E 30 0718012618 105S 843E 30 0718012700 107S 847E 30 0718012706 110S 848E 35 0718012712 114S 848E 35 0718012718 118S 848E 45 0718012800 126S 846E 65 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013112 156S 773E 115 0718013112 156S 773E 115 0718013112 156S 773E 115 0718013118 155S 770E 110 0718013118 155S 770E 110 0718013118 155S 770E 110 0718020100 154S 766E 115 0718020100 154S 766E 115 0718020100 154S 766E 115 0718020106 155S 763E 115 0718020106 155S 763E 115 0718020106 155S 763E 115 0718020109 156S 762E 115 0718020109 156S 762E 115 0718020109 156S 762E 115 0718020112 157S 761E 115 0718020112 157S 761E 115 0718020112 157S 761E 115 0718020118 160S 759E 110 0718020118 160S 759E 110 0718020118 160S 759E 110 0718020200 165S 757E 120 0718020200 165S 757E 120 0718020200 165S 757E 120 0718020206 170S 756E 115 0718020206 170S 756E 115 0718020206 170S 756E 115 0718020212 174S 757E 110 0718020212 174S 757E 110 0718020212 174S 757E 110 0718020218 178S 760E 110 0718020218 178S 760E 110 0718020218 178S 760E 110 0718020300 181S 764E 105 0718020300 181S 764E 105 0718020300 181S 764E 105 0718020306 184S 771E 95 0718020306 184S 771E 95 0718020306 184S 771E 95 0718020312 187S 778E 85 0718020312 187S 778E 85 0718020312 187S 778E 85 0718020318 191S 786E 75 0718020318 191S 786E 75 0718020318 191S 786E 75 0718020400 196S 793E 70 0718020400 196S 793E 70 0718020400 196S 793E 70 0718020406 203S 798E 65 0718020406 203S 798E 65 0718020406 203S 798E 65 0718020412 209S 802E 60 0718020412 209S 802E 60