WTXS51 PGTW 290300 WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 180129023858 2018012900 07S CEBILE 009 01 230 08 SATL 030 T000 148S 0821E 110 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 156S 0811E 115 R064 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 155 SE QD 140 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 161S 0803E 115 R064 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 155 SE QD 150 SW QD 115 NW QD T036 164S 0794E 110 R064 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 155 SE QD 150 SW QD 115 NW QD T048 165S 0786E 105 R064 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 165 SE QD 155 SW QD 120 NW QD T072 165S 0772E 100 R064 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW QD 125 NW QD T096 168S 0762E 090 R064 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 180 SE QD 175 SW QD 125 NW QD T120 186S 0769E 080 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 120 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 009 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z --- NEAR 14.8S 82.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S 82.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 15.6S 81.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 16.1S 80.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 16.4S 79.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 16.5S 78.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 16.5S 77.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 16.8S 76.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 18.6S 76.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 290300Z POSITION NEAR 15.0S 81.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900, 291500Z, 292100, AND 300300Z.// 0718012412 93S 792E 15 0718012418 93S 795E 15 0718012500 93S 798E 20 0718012506 93S 801E 25 0718012512 96S 807E 30 0718012518 98S 814E 30 0718012600 102S 821E 30 0718012606 103S 826E 30 0718012612 103S 831E 30 0718012618 105S 843E 30 0718012700 107S 847E 30 0718012706 110S 848E 35 0718012712 114S 848E 35 0718012718 118S 848E 45 0718012800 126S 846E 65 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110