WTXS51 PGTW 310900 WARNING ATCG MIL 07S SIO 180131084042 2018013106 07S CEBILE 018 01 280 07 SATL 040 T000 158S 0776E 115 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 075 SE QD 080 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 165 SE QD 160 SW QD 120 NW QD T012 157S 0767E 115 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 185 SE QD 180 SW QD 125 NW QD T024 160S 0760E 110 R064 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 190 SE QD 175 SW QD 125 NW QD T036 165S 0755E 110 R064 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 185 SE QD 175 SW QD 120 NW QD T048 172S 0755E 110 R064 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 175 SE QD 170 SW QD 120 NW QD T072 185S 0767E 095 R064 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 125 NW QD T096 206S 0792E 080 R064 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 110 SE QD 085 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 190 SE QD 155 SW QD 115 NW QD T120 234S 0807E 060 R050 095 NE QD 105 SE QD 085 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 205 SE QD 165 SW QD 125 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 018 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z --- NEAR 15.8S 77.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S 77.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 15.7S 76.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.0S 76.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 16.5S 75.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 17.2S 75.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 18.5S 76.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 20.6S 79.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 23.4S 80.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 310900Z POSITION NEAR 15.8S 77.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 602 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z, 312100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z. // 0718012412 93S 792E 15 0718012418 93S 795E 15 0718012500 93S 798E 20 0718012506 93S 801E 25 0718012512 96S 807E 30 0718012518 98S 814E 30 0718012600 102S 821E 30 0718012606 103S 826E 30 0718012612 103S 831E 30 0718012618 105S 843E 30 0718012700 107S 847E 30 0718012706 110S 848E 35 0718012712 114S 848E 35 0718012718 118S 848E 45 0718012800 126S 846E 65 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012806 133S 840E 75 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012812 138S 832E 95 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012818 143S 827E 115 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012900 148S 821E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012906 152S 815E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012912 155S 811E 110 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718012918 157S 808E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013000 160S 804E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013006 160S 798E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013012 160S 793E 100 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013018 159S 788E 110 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013100 159S 783E 120 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013106 158S 776E 115 0718013106 158S 776E 115