WTXS52 PGTW 160300 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 180316014002 2018031600 15S FIFTEEN 002 02 150 06 SATL 035 T000 106S 1326E 040 R034 055 NE QD 065 SE QD 030 SW QD 065 NW QD T012 114S 1324E 045 R034 100 NE QD 055 SE QD 035 SW QD 075 NW QD T024 122S 1316E 050 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 075 NW QD T036 131S 1303E 045 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 138S 1285E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 075 NW QD T072 149S 1239E 055 R050 030 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 065 NW QD T096 152S 1185E 070 R064 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 135 SE QD 125 SW QD 105 NW QD T120 151S 1125E 085 R064 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 095 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 135 SW QD 110 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z --- NEAR 10.6S 132.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.6S 132.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 11.4S 132.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 12.2S 131.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 13.1S 130.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 13.8S 128.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 14.9S 123.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 15.2S 118.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 15.1S 112.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 160300Z POSITION NEAR 10.8S 132.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 152 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z, 161500Z, 162100Z AND 170300Z. FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1518031318 85S1287E 20 1518031400 88S1289E 20 1518031406 90S1292E 20 1518031412 90S1296E 20 1518031418 90S1300E 20 1518031500 90S1304E 25 1518031506 93S1313E 30 1518031512 96S1319E 30 1518031518 101S1323E 40 1518031600 106S1326E 40