WTXS52 PGTW 161500 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 180316125018 2018031612 15S MARCUS 004 02 240 06 SATL RADR 020 T000 114S 1314E 040 R034 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD T012 122S 1304E 045 R034 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD T024 131S 1293E 050 R050 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD T036 138S 1277E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD T048 143S 1257E 045 R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 065 NW QD T072 152S 1213E 065 R064 010 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 105 SE QD 095 SW QD 070 NW QD T096 151S 1154E 085 R064 020 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 140 SE QD 125 SW QD 100 NW QD T120 152S 1090E 100 R064 030 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 155 SW QD 110 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (MARCUS) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z --- NEAR 11.4S 131.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.4S 131.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 12.2S 130.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 13.1S 129.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 13.8S 127.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 14.3S 125.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 15.2S 121.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 15.1S 115.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 15.2S 109.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 161500Z POSITION NEAR 11.6S 131.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (MARCUS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 72 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z, 170300Z, 170900Z AND 171500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (ELIAKIM) WARNINGS 1518031318 85S1287E 20 1518031400 88S1289E 20 1518031406 90S1292E 20 1518031412 90S1296E 20 1518031418 90S1300E 20 1518031500 90S1304E 25 1518031506 93S1313E 30 1518031512 96S1319E 30 1518031518 101S1323E 35 1518031600 106S1322E 40 1518031606 111S1319E 40 1518031612 114S1314E 40