WTPN31 PGTW 301500

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//

RMKS/

1. SUPER TYPHOON 03W (JELAWAT) WARNING NR 024

   UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 03W

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   301200Z --- NEAR 16.8N 139.1E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 11 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM

     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 139.1E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   310000Z --- 17.9N 140.6E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 08 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   311200Z --- 18.7N 142.0E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 06 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   010000Z --- 19.2N 143.2E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   011200Z --- 19.6N 144.6E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 04 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   021200Z --- 19.7N 146.5E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 03 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   031200Z --- 19.6N 147.8E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 03 KTS

    ---

   120 HRS, VALID AT:

   041200Z --- 19.3N 149.0E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

    ---

REMARKS:

301500Z POSITION NEAR 17.1N 139.5E.

SUPER TYPHOON 03W (JELAWAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 384 NM WEST-

NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11

KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT

301200Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 310300Z, 310900Z AND

311500Z.

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