WTPZ32 KNHC 052038

TCPEP2



BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122018

400 PM CDT SUN AUG 05 2018



...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF

MEXICO...





SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...14.6N 105.8W

ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E

WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 105.8 WEST. THE

DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H), AND

THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED

OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND THE

DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT, AND

STRENGTHEN INTO HURRICANE BY MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

SURF:  SWELLS GENERATED BY THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN

AFFECTING THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR

TWO.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP

CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER

OFFICE.





NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT.



....

FORECASTER BROWN