WTNT82 EGRR 160405



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 16.08.2018



        TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO    ANALYSED POSITION : 39.3N  45.3W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 16.08.2018    0  39.3N  45.3W     1008            36

    1200UTC 16.08.2018   12  41.5N  43.5W     1006            41

    0000UTC 17.08.2018   24  43.8N  40.3W     1001            46

    1200UTC 17.08.2018   36  46.3N  34.7W      997            47

    0000UTC 18.08.2018   48  49.2N  27.2W      997            45

    1200UTC 18.08.2018   60  51.7N  18.0W     1000            38

    0000UTC 19.08.2018   72  53.6N   9.5W     1006            32

    1200UTC 19.08.2018   84              POST-TROPICAL



        TROPICAL STORM LANE       ANALYSED POSITION : 10.3N 125.2W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 16.08.2018    0  10.3N 125.2W     1002            32

    1200UTC 16.08.2018   12  10.0N 127.6W      993            52

    0000UTC 17.08.2018   24  10.3N 130.4W      990            56

    1200UTC 17.08.2018   36  10.4N 133.5W      984            66

    0000UTC 18.08.2018   48  10.6N 136.6W      981            68

    1200UTC 18.08.2018   60  10.8N 139.7W      979            73

    0000UTC 19.08.2018   72  11.1N 142.8W      980            68

    1200UTC 19.08.2018   84  11.4N 145.6W      980            69

    0000UTC 20.08.2018   96  11.7N 148.3W      979            64

    1200UTC 20.08.2018  108  12.1N 150.5W      980            61

    0000UTC 21.08.2018  120  12.4N 152.6W      979            63

    1200UTC 21.08.2018  132  12.6N 154.7W      982            58

    0000UTC 22.08.2018  144  13.0N 156.8W      985            56



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.4N 128.9W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 21.08.2018  120  13.6N 130.1W     1007            30

    1200UTC 21.08.2018  132  14.1N 132.9W     1006            39

    0000UTC 22.08.2018  144  14.5N 135.5W     1005            35





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 160405