WTNT82 EGRR 171606



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 17.08.2018



        TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO    ANALYSED POSITION : 46.4N  35.0W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 17.08.2018    0  46.4N  35.0W     1002            42

    0000UTC 18.08.2018   12  49.5N  27.2W     1001            40

    1200UTC 18.08.2018   24  52.4N  17.9W     1003            35

    0000UTC 19.08.2018   36  54.5N   8.8W     1007            29

    1200UTC 19.08.2018   48              POST-TROPICAL



             HURRICANE LANE       ANALYSED POSITION : 10.8N 132.5W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 17.08.2018    0  10.8N 132.5W      972            78

    0000UTC 18.08.2018   12  11.4N 135.2W      964            83

    1200UTC 18.08.2018   24  11.9N 138.5W      971            81

    0000UTC 19.08.2018   36  12.3N 141.5W      976            74

    1200UTC 19.08.2018   48  12.7N 144.1W      977            69

    0000UTC 20.08.2018   60  13.0N 146.3W      969            68

    1200UTC 20.08.2018   72  13.4N 148.3W      968            69

    0000UTC 21.08.2018   84  13.8N 149.8W      967            69

    1200UTC 21.08.2018   96  14.1N 151.3W      966            68

    0000UTC 22.08.2018  108  14.4N 152.8W      971            65

    1200UTC 22.08.2018  120  14.8N 154.4W      974            67

    0000UTC 23.08.2018  132  15.3N 155.8W      971            68

    1200UTC 23.08.2018  144  15.9N 157.1W      972            68



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 36.4N  40.8W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 23.08.2018  144  35.5N  40.2W     1014            25





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 171606