WTNT82 EGRR 100405 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 10.09.2018 HURRICANE FLORENCE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.4N 57.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 10.09.2018 0 24.4N 57.4W 986 55 1200UTC 10.09.2018 12 24.8N 59.3W 987 54 0000UTC 11.09.2018 24 25.6N 61.4W 983 55 1200UTC 11.09.2018 36 26.7N 64.2W 979 64 0000UTC 12.09.2018 48 28.4N 67.5W 971 70 1200UTC 12.09.2018 60 30.3N 70.8W 955 80 0000UTC 13.09.2018 72 32.2N 72.9W 945 79 1200UTC 13.09.2018 84 33.8N 74.7W 943 88 0000UTC 14.09.2018 96 35.0N 75.7W 930 94 1200UTC 14.09.2018 108 35.7N 76.3W 949 81 0000UTC 15.09.2018 120 36.4N 76.4W 961 74 1200UTC 15.09.2018 132 36.8N 76.9W 974 64 0000UTC 16.09.2018 144 37.2N 77.4W 988 54 HURRICANE HELENE ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N 26.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 10.09.2018 0 13.5N 26.7W 988 55 1200UTC 10.09.2018 12 14.1N 29.3W 978 61 0000UTC 11.09.2018 24 15.2N 31.9W 971 67 1200UTC 11.09.2018 36 16.1N 34.1W 970 65 0000UTC 12.09.2018 48 17.2N 35.4W 968 65 1200UTC 12.09.2018 60 18.8N 36.5W 970 65 0000UTC 13.09.2018 72 21.1N 37.1W 972 69 1200UTC 13.09.2018 84 23.2N 37.5W 978 62 0000UTC 14.09.2018 96 24.8N 37.0W 992 46 1200UTC 14.09.2018 108 25.9N 36.6W 998 36 0000UTC 15.09.2018 120 27.0N 35.8W 1002 32 1200UTC 15.09.2018 132 27.4N 35.4W 1006 26 0000UTC 16.09.2018 144 28.0N 34.6W 1010 25 HURRICANE ISAAC ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 40.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 10.09.2018 0 14.2N 40.9W 994 42 1200UTC 10.09.2018 12 14.3N 43.4W 992 58 0000UTC 11.09.2018 24 14.2N 45.5W 990 55 1200UTC 11.09.2018 36 14.2N 47.6W 987 65 0000UTC 12.09.2018 48 14.4N 49.4W 988 63 1200UTC 12.09.2018 60 14.5N 51.2W 988 65 0000UTC 13.09.2018 72 15.0N 52.5W 984 67 1200UTC 13.09.2018 84 15.5N 54.4W 987 62 0000UTC 14.09.2018 96 16.4N 55.6W 982 61 1200UTC 14.09.2018 108 17.8N 57.4W 978 60 0000UTC 15.09.2018 120 19.1N 59.3W 977 66 1200UTC 15.09.2018 132 20.5N 60.2W 975 62 0000UTC 16.09.2018 144 22.5N 60.0W 970 70 HURRICANE OLIVIA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.8N 145.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 10.09.2018 0 21.8N 145.6W 981 59 1200UTC 10.09.2018 12 21.7N 147.2W 987 58 0000UTC 11.09.2018 24 21.7N 148.8W 988 56 1200UTC 11.09.2018 36 21.2N 150.7W 994 52 0000UTC 12.09.2018 48 20.5N 153.1W 1000 42 1200UTC 12.09.2018 60 20.1N 154.9W 1002 44 0000UTC 13.09.2018 72 19.2N 158.4W 1005 33 1200UTC 13.09.2018 84 18.5N 160.8W 1006 27 0000UTC 14.09.2018 96 18.2N 163.3W 1006 27 1200UTC 14.09.2018 108 18.4N 165.3W 1006 31 0000UTC 15.09.2018 120 19.0N 168.0W 1006 32 1200UTC 15.09.2018 132 19.8N 170.9W 1007 32 0000UTC 16.09.2018 144 20.8N 173.7W 1007 33 TROPICAL STORM PAUL ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N 118.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 10.09.2018 0 19.0N 118.9W 1002 25 1200UTC 10.09.2018 12 19.7N 120.2W 1003 24 0000UTC 11.09.2018 24 20.9N 121.3W 1003 26 1200UTC 11.09.2018 36 21.2N 122.8W 1004 27 0000UTC 12.09.2018 48 21.7N 124.5W 1005 26 1200UTC 12.09.2018 60 22.2N 126.1W 1008 24 0000UTC 13.09.2018 72 22.6N 127.5W 1008 22 1200UTC 13.09.2018 84 23.3N 128.5W 1010 20 0000UTC 14.09.2018 96 23.3N 128.9W 1010 21 1200UTC 14.09.2018 108 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 37.0N 38.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 12.09.2018 60 37.0N 38.2W 1014 35 0000UTC 13.09.2018 72 37.8N 39.1W 1010 36 1200UTC 13.09.2018 84 37.3N 39.4W 1006 38 0000UTC 14.09.2018 96 38.7N 37.5W 999 39 1200UTC 14.09.2018 108 39.0N 37.5W 988 55 0000UTC 15.09.2018 120 39.9N 34.9W 988 43 1200UTC 15.09.2018 132 40.6N 31.2W 990 42 0000UTC 16.09.2018 144 41.9N 27.1W 985 44 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 37.2N 56.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 15.09.2018 120 35.9N 56.4W 1011 29 1200UTC 15.09.2018 132 34.0N 59.0W 1010 28 0000UTC 16.09.2018 144 32.7N 61.5W 1009 24 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 13.2N 103.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.09.2018 132 12.9N 104.2W 1000 32 0000UTC 16.09.2018 144 14.2N 106.4W 995 44 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 100405