WTNT82 EGRR 101610 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 10.09.2018 HURRICANE FLORENCE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.9N 59.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.09.2018 0 24.9N 59.3W 979 63 0000UTC 11.09.2018 12 25.5N 61.6W 978 58 1200UTC 11.09.2018 24 26.5N 64.7W 977 61 0000UTC 12.09.2018 36 28.0N 67.7W 972 66 1200UTC 12.09.2018 48 29.4N 70.8W 957 77 0000UTC 13.09.2018 60 31.5N 73.0W 947 84 1200UTC 13.09.2018 72 33.3N 75.2W 938 87 0000UTC 14.09.2018 84 34.4N 76.9W 931 87 1200UTC 14.09.2018 96 35.2N 77.8W 964 57 0000UTC 15.09.2018 108 36.1N 78.0W 981 42 1200UTC 15.09.2018 120 37.0N 78.3W 986 41 0000UTC 16.09.2018 132 37.7N 79.1W 997 30 1200UTC 16.09.2018 144 39.2N 79.9W 1002 28 HURRICANE HELENE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 29.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.09.2018 0 14.2N 29.5W 971 69 0000UTC 11.09.2018 12 15.1N 32.1W 962 68 1200UTC 11.09.2018 24 15.9N 34.1W 959 75 0000UTC 12.09.2018 36 17.2N 35.2W 962 72 1200UTC 12.09.2018 48 18.9N 36.0W 969 68 0000UTC 13.09.2018 60 21.4N 36.4W 974 68 1200UTC 13.09.2018 72 23.1N 36.7W 989 50 0000UTC 14.09.2018 84 24.7N 36.1W 997 42 1200UTC 14.09.2018 96 26.1N 35.0W 1000 35 0000UTC 15.09.2018 108 27.6N 34.2W 1004 31 1200UTC 15.09.2018 120 29.4N 33.0W 1007 28 0000UTC 16.09.2018 132 31.7N 30.5W 1009 29 1200UTC 16.09.2018 144 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE ISAAC ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 43.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.09.2018 0 14.4N 43.3W 979 66 0000UTC 11.09.2018 12 14.4N 45.9W 981 65 1200UTC 11.09.2018 24 14.2N 47.9W 976 72 0000UTC 12.09.2018 36 14.4N 49.4W 978 70 1200UTC 12.09.2018 48 14.7N 50.8W 977 73 0000UTC 13.09.2018 60 15.4N 52.0W 980 67 1200UTC 13.09.2018 72 16.2N 53.7W 979 64 0000UTC 14.09.2018 84 17.2N 55.4W 975 62 1200UTC 14.09.2018 96 18.0N 57.4W 973 75 0000UTC 15.09.2018 108 18.9N 58.6W 976 66 1200UTC 15.09.2018 120 20.3N 59.1W 972 70 0000UTC 16.09.2018 132 22.8N 58.6W 960 79 1200UTC 16.09.2018 144 26.0N 58.0W 945 84 HURRICANE OLIVIA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.9N 147.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.09.2018 0 21.9N 147.5W 990 54 0000UTC 11.09.2018 12 21.8N 149.3W 992 51 1200UTC 11.09.2018 24 21.4N 151.4W 998 47 0000UTC 12.09.2018 36 20.8N 153.9W 1002 39 1200UTC 12.09.2018 48 20.7N 156.6W 1005 45 0000UTC 13.09.2018 60 19.5N 159.4W 1006 32 1200UTC 13.09.2018 72 18.7N 162.4W 1007 31 0000UTC 14.09.2018 84 18.4N 164.7W 1006 29 1200UTC 14.09.2018 96 18.4N 167.1W 1006 33 0000UTC 15.09.2018 108 18.9N 169.5W 1006 30 1200UTC 15.09.2018 120 20.0N 171.6W 1007 32 0000UTC 16.09.2018 132 21.9N 174.2W 1007 35 1200UTC 16.09.2018 144 24.2N 177.1W 1007 38 TROPICAL STORM PAUL ANALYSED POSITION : 20.0N 119.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.09.2018 0 20.0N 119.7W 1003 25 0000UTC 11.09.2018 12 21.0N 121.2W 1003 26 1200UTC 11.09.2018 24 21.4N 123.5W 1005 26 0000UTC 12.09.2018 36 22.2N 125.3W 1006 24 1200UTC 12.09.2018 48 22.4N 127.1W 1008 22 0000UTC 13.09.2018 60 22.5N 128.3W 1009 22 1200UTC 13.09.2018 72 23.2N 129.3W 1010 21 0000UTC 14.09.2018 84 23.2N 129.8W 1010 21 1200UTC 14.09.2018 96 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 37.0N 40.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 13.09.2018 72 37.0N 40.3W 1005 39 0000UTC 14.09.2018 84 36.5N 39.2W 999 38 1200UTC 14.09.2018 96 37.7N 38.6W 998 32 0000UTC 15.09.2018 108 38.4N 37.3W 997 35 1200UTC 15.09.2018 120 40.0N 34.9W 998 34 0000UTC 16.09.2018 132 40.8N 33.5W 999 37 1200UTC 16.09.2018 144 39.2N 32.8W 995 40 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 25.4N 96.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2018 96 25.4N 96.2W 1007 23 0000UTC 15.09.2018 108 26.4N 97.4W 1005 27 1200UTC 15.09.2018 120 27.0N 98.9W 1004 23 0000UTC 16.09.2018 132 27.6N 100.1W 1002 23 1200UTC 16.09.2018 144 28.0N 101.3W 1003 22 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 13.0N 104.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2018 132 13.6N 105.1W 1001 31 1200UTC 16.09.2018 144 14.1N 107.6W 997 38 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101610