WTNT82 EGRR 110408 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 11.09.2018 HURRICANE FLORENCE ANALYSED POSITION : 25.6N 61.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.09.2018 0 25.6N 61.9W 965 74 1200UTC 11.09.2018 12 26.4N 65.0W 964 72 0000UTC 12.09.2018 24 27.6N 68.4W 961 77 1200UTC 12.09.2018 36 28.9N 71.1W 950 83 0000UTC 13.09.2018 48 31.0N 73.6W 944 84 1200UTC 13.09.2018 60 32.7N 75.9W 933 90 0000UTC 14.09.2018 72 33.9N 77.2W 930 93 1200UTC 14.09.2018 84 34.6N 77.9W 956 74 0000UTC 15.09.2018 96 35.3N 77.8W 973 53 1200UTC 15.09.2018 108 35.6N 78.6W 982 34 0000UTC 16.09.2018 120 35.7N 80.2W 991 27 1200UTC 16.09.2018 132 36.7N 83.0W 1001 18 0000UTC 17.09.2018 144 39.0N 84.6W 1004 19 HURRICANE HELENE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.0N 32.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.09.2018 0 15.0N 32.1W 966 69 1200UTC 11.09.2018 12 15.8N 33.8W 965 71 0000UTC 12.09.2018 24 17.1N 34.8W 964 70 1200UTC 12.09.2018 36 18.9N 35.8W 972 67 0000UTC 13.09.2018 48 21.0N 36.4W 982 60 1200UTC 13.09.2018 60 22.8N 37.0W 992 45 0000UTC 14.09.2018 72 24.5N 36.8W 998 37 1200UTC 14.09.2018 84 26.3N 36.5W 1001 32 0000UTC 15.09.2018 96 28.4N 35.6W 1004 30 1200UTC 15.09.2018 108 30.3N 34.0W 1008 29 0000UTC 16.09.2018 120 33.2N 31.9W 1010 29 1200UTC 16.09.2018 132 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 46.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.09.2018 0 14.5N 46.0W 993 57 1200UTC 11.09.2018 12 14.1N 48.5W 992 60 0000UTC 12.09.2018 24 14.0N 50.0W 989 65 1200UTC 12.09.2018 36 14.2N 51.4W 986 66 0000UTC 13.09.2018 48 14.7N 52.8W 986 71 1200UTC 13.09.2018 60 15.2N 54.6W 987 68 0000UTC 14.09.2018 72 15.7N 56.0W 983 63 1200UTC 14.09.2018 84 16.4N 57.8W 977 65 0000UTC 15.09.2018 96 16.9N 59.3W 978 69 1200UTC 15.09.2018 108 18.0N 60.0W 975 66 0000UTC 16.09.2018 120 19.8N 59.7W 973 71 1200UTC 16.09.2018 132 22.2N 58.7W 966 74 0000UTC 17.09.2018 144 25.0N 57.3W 960 81 TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.2N 149.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.09.2018 0 22.2N 149.0W 982 62 1200UTC 11.09.2018 12 21.7N 151.5W 995 49 0000UTC 12.09.2018 24 21.1N 154.1W 1001 41 1200UTC 12.09.2018 36 20.8N 157.1W 1005 44 0000UTC 13.09.2018 48 19.2N 159.6W 1005 31 1200UTC 13.09.2018 60 18.5N 162.4W 1006 31 0000UTC 14.09.2018 72 18.0N 164.6W 1005 30 1200UTC 14.09.2018 84 17.5N 166.9W 1006 34 0000UTC 15.09.2018 96 17.8N 169.0W 1005 32 1200UTC 15.09.2018 108 18.3N 171.0W 1006 31 0000UTC 16.09.2018 120 19.5N 173.2W 1006 32 1200UTC 16.09.2018 132 20.6N 175.8W 1006 35 0000UTC 17.09.2018 144 21.4N 178.7W 1004 35 TROPICAL STORM PAUL ANALYSED POSITION : 21.3N 121.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.09.2018 0 21.3N 121.6W 1002 27 1200UTC 11.09.2018 12 22.2N 123.9W 1003 28 0000UTC 12.09.2018 24 22.2N 126.1W 1005 27 1200UTC 12.09.2018 36 22.6N 128.0W 1007 23 0000UTC 13.09.2018 48 22.7N 129.6W 1008 23 1200UTC 13.09.2018 60 23.1N 130.8W 1009 23 0000UTC 14.09.2018 72 22.8N 131.5W 1009 23 1200UTC 14.09.2018 84 22.6N 131.6W 1010 21 0000UTC 15.09.2018 96 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 37.2N 38.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 12.09.2018 36 37.5N 39.4W 1012 40 0000UTC 13.09.2018 48 36.7N 41.3W 1009 38 1200UTC 13.09.2018 60 35.5N 41.7W 1005 36 0000UTC 14.09.2018 72 35.8N 41.0W 1002 34 1200UTC 14.09.2018 84 37.6N 40.1W 999 31 0000UTC 15.09.2018 96 38.6N 40.3W 990 43 1200UTC 15.09.2018 108 39.2N 39.6W 991 40 0000UTC 16.09.2018 120 39.2N 39.1W 994 36 1200UTC 16.09.2018 132 39.7N 37.2W 993 43 0000UTC 17.09.2018 144 40.7N 33.5W 985 44 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 13.6N 103.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.09.2018 108 13.6N 103.1W 1002 30 0000UTC 16.09.2018 120 14.2N 104.8W 998 34 1200UTC 16.09.2018 132 15.5N 107.1W 994 44 0000UTC 17.09.2018 144 15.8N 108.7W 988 51 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 110408