WTNT82 EGRR 120405 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 12.09.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L ANALYSED POSITION : 19.9N 89.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.09.2018 0 19.9N 89.9W 1009 23 1200UTC 12.09.2018 12 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE FLORENCE ANALYSED POSITION : 27.9N 68.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.09.2018 0 27.9N 68.0W 960 74 1200UTC 12.09.2018 12 29.2N 70.8W 960 77 0000UTC 13.09.2018 24 31.3N 73.1W 954 77 1200UTC 13.09.2018 36 33.1N 75.5W 944 85 0000UTC 14.09.2018 48 34.0N 76.9W 941 86 1200UTC 14.09.2018 60 34.1N 77.8W 954 74 0000UTC 15.09.2018 72 34.2N 78.1W 970 65 1200UTC 15.09.2018 84 34.1N 78.5W 976 56 0000UTC 16.09.2018 96 34.1N 79.2W 981 50 1200UTC 16.09.2018 108 34.3N 81.0W 990 34 0000UTC 17.09.2018 120 35.6N 82.5W 1000 28 1200UTC 17.09.2018 132 38.0N 83.2W 1002 17 0000UTC 18.09.2018 144 40.8N 81.1W 1002 27 HURRICANE HELENE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.4N 35.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.09.2018 0 17.4N 35.2W 961 74 1200UTC 12.09.2018 12 19.2N 36.3W 972 68 0000UTC 13.09.2018 24 21.4N 36.9W 979 69 1200UTC 13.09.2018 36 23.3N 37.4W 992 48 0000UTC 14.09.2018 48 25.1N 37.5W 999 35 1200UTC 14.09.2018 60 27.6N 37.5W 1002 34 0000UTC 15.09.2018 72 30.3N 36.6W 1003 33 1200UTC 15.09.2018 84 33.5N 34.7W 1005 34 0000UTC 16.09.2018 96 36.6N 31.7W 1007 33 1200UTC 16.09.2018 108 39.7N 27.2W 1005 36 0000UTC 17.09.2018 120 42.2N 22.5W 999 44 1200UTC 17.09.2018 132 47.0N 18.2W 992 42 0000UTC 18.09.2018 144 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ANALYSED POSITION : 14.3N 51.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.09.2018 0 14.3N 51.4W 991 70 1200UTC 12.09.2018 12 14.1N 54.0W 998 47 0000UTC 13.09.2018 24 14.6N 56.3W 998 50 1200UTC 13.09.2018 36 14.8N 59.1W 999 47 0000UTC 14.09.2018 48 14.8N 61.9W 997 47 1200UTC 14.09.2018 60 14.7N 65.1W 997 45 0000UTC 15.09.2018 72 14.8N 68.1W 998 40 1200UTC 15.09.2018 84 14.9N 71.0W 998 38 0000UTC 16.09.2018 96 15.0N 73.3W 999 39 1200UTC 16.09.2018 108 15.3N 75.5W 999 38 0000UTC 17.09.2018 120 16.1N 77.6W 1000 37 1200UTC 17.09.2018 132 16.8N 80.0W 1000 42 0000UTC 18.09.2018 144 17.3N 82.5W 1000 35 TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N 153.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.09.2018 0 21.4N 153.7W 1004 38 1200UTC 12.09.2018 12 21.2N 155.6W 1007 33 0000UTC 13.09.2018 24 20.0N 159.0W 1008 28 1200UTC 13.09.2018 36 19.7N 161.7W 1008 28 0000UTC 14.09.2018 48 19.7N 164.1W 1007 30 1200UTC 14.09.2018 60 19.4N 166.9W 1007 32 0000UTC 15.09.2018 72 19.1N 169.4W 1007 28 1200UTC 15.09.2018 84 19.9N 171.4W 1008 27 0000UTC 16.09.2018 96 20.5N 173.7W 1007 26 1200UTC 16.09.2018 108 21.3N 175.9W 1008 26 0000UTC 17.09.2018 120 21.7N 178.1W 1008 23 1200UTC 17.09.2018 132 21.9N 179.3E 1009 21 0000UTC 18.09.2018 144 21.7N 176.9E 1009 23 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL ANALYSED POSITION : 22.2N 126.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.09.2018 0 22.2N 126.0W 1004 28 1200UTC 12.09.2018 12 22.8N 127.5W 1007 24 0000UTC 13.09.2018 24 23.0N 129.1W 1008 25 1200UTC 13.09.2018 36 23.1N 130.8W 1009 24 0000UTC 14.09.2018 48 22.8N 131.3W 1010 23 1200UTC 14.09.2018 60 22.5N 131.7W 1010 20 0000UTC 15.09.2018 72 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 36.5N 40.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 12.09.2018 12 35.8N 41.2W 1008 40 0000UTC 13.09.2018 24 34.8N 42.2W 1004 33 1200UTC 13.09.2018 36 34.4N 42.9W 1003 32 0000UTC 14.09.2018 48 34.5N 42.7W 1001 32 1200UTC 14.09.2018 60 35.1N 41.7W 997 43 0000UTC 15.09.2018 72 36.7N 39.8W 994 43 1200UTC 15.09.2018 84 38.7N 37.5W 997 38 0000UTC 16.09.2018 96 41.1N 35.6W 1000 30 1200UTC 16.09.2018 108 42.8N 32.6W 1001 27 0000UTC 17.09.2018 120 43.4N 27.8W 1000 33 1200UTC 17.09.2018 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 14.1N 105.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2018 96 14.1N 106.4W 1001 30 1200UTC 16.09.2018 108 15.9N 108.2W 999 30 0000UTC 17.09.2018 120 16.0N 109.9W 996 35 1200UTC 17.09.2018 132 16.5N 111.4W 993 40 0000UTC 18.09.2018 144 17.8N 112.9W 990 53 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 120405