WTNT82 EGRR 221604



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 22.09.2018



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIRK       ANALYSED POSITION :  7.9N  22.2W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 22.09.2018    0   7.9N  22.2W     1010            20

    0000UTC 23.09.2018   12   9.1N  24.4W     1010            20

    1200UTC 23.09.2018   24   9.6N  27.0W     1011            27

    0000UTC 24.09.2018   36  10.0N  30.9W     1010            29

    1200UTC 24.09.2018   48  10.0N  34.5W     1008            32

    0000UTC 25.09.2018   60  10.0N  38.0W     1006            36

    1200UTC 25.09.2018   72  10.3N  40.8W     1004            38

    0000UTC 26.09.2018   84  11.2N  43.7W     1000            42

    1200UTC 26.09.2018   96  11.7N  46.1W      998            42

    0000UTC 27.09.2018  108  12.8N  47.7W      997            45

    1200UTC 27.09.2018  120  14.2N  48.7W      996            49

    0000UTC 28.09.2018  132  15.6N  49.3W      992            59

    1200UTC 28.09.2018  144  16.7N  50.2W      995            58



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L        ANALYSED POSITION : 29.3N  64.9W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 22.09.2018    0  29.3N  64.9W     1011            24

    0000UTC 23.09.2018   12  28.3N  66.3W     1011            28

    1200UTC 23.09.2018   24  28.2N  67.7W     1012            27

    0000UTC 24.09.2018   36              CEASED TRACKING



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11L        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.2N  53.5W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 22.09.2018    0  13.2N  53.5W     1009            27

    0000UTC 23.09.2018   12  13.9N  54.2W     1009            27

    1200UTC 23.09.2018   24  14.3N  55.4W     1011            24

    0000UTC 24.09.2018   36              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 33.5N  44.5W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 23.09.2018   12  33.5N  44.5W     1005            32

    1200UTC 23.09.2018   24  33.1N  47.6W     1006            36

    0000UTC 24.09.2018   36  33.4N  47.2W     1007            32

    1200UTC 24.09.2018   48  33.0N  49.7W     1010            28

    0000UTC 25.09.2018   60  31.4N  48.9W     1010            25

    1200UTC 25.09.2018   72  31.5N  46.9W     1008            26

    0000UTC 26.09.2018   84  32.0N  45.9W     1006            39

    1200UTC 26.09.2018   96  29.8N  44.3W     1006            41

    0000UTC 27.09.2018  108  29.7N  42.5W     1004            40

    1200UTC 27.09.2018  120  28.5N  42.2W     1001            45

    0000UTC 28.09.2018  132  29.2N  40.1W      998            45

    1200UTC 28.09.2018  144  28.9N  39.6W      998            43



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 16.3N 113.4W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 26.09.2018   96  16.3N 113.4W     1005            20

    0000UTC 27.09.2018  108  16.4N 114.6W     1002            28

    1200UTC 27.09.2018  120  16.9N 115.7W      999            33

    0000UTC 28.09.2018  132  16.9N 117.0W      995            40

    1200UTC 28.09.2018  144  16.8N 117.9W      991            42





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 221603