WTPZ35 KNHC 272048 RRA

TCPEP5



BULLETIN

HURRICANE ROSA ADVISORY NUMBER  11

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202018

200 PM PDT THU SEP 27 2018



...ROSA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...





SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...16.9N 115.9W

ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ROSA WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 115.9 WEST.  ROSA IS MOVING

TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED

TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED

ON FRIDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY AND

A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON SUNDAY.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH (205 KM/H)

WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ROSA IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE

SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS

EXPECTED TONIGHT.  FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND

FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH WEAKENING EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.



HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE

CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES

(185 KM).  THE MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION ON CLARION ISLAND

RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 38 MPH (61 KM/H) AND A WIND