WTPZ35 KNHC 290839 RRA

TCPEP5



BULLETIN

HURRICANE ROSA ADVISORY NUMBER  17

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202018

200 AM PDT SAT SEP 29 2018



...ROSA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN...

...............HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE

SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...





SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...19.2N 118.2W

ABOUT 625 MI...1005 KM SSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO

ABOUT 840 MI...1355 KM SSW OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA

SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ROSA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD

BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER THIS

MORNING.





DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ROSA WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 118.2 WEST. ROSA IS MOVING

TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS

EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH

AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST

TRACK, THE CENTER OF ROSA WILL BE APPROACHING CENTRAL AND NORTHERN

BAJA CALIFORNIA ON MONDAY.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH (155 KM/H)

WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT

72 HOURS, AND ROSA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY LATE

SUNDAY OR EARLY MONDAY.