WTNT82 EGRR 121556



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 12.10.2018



        TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL    ANALYSED POSITION : 39.4N  71.3W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 12.10.2018    0  39.4N  71.3W      982            51

    0000UTC 13.10.2018   12              CEASED TRACKING



             HURRICANE LESLIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 32.5N  29.8W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 12.10.2018    0  32.5N  29.8W      965            66

    0000UTC 13.10.2018   12  34.9N  22.2W      964            73

    1200UTC 13.10.2018   24  38.2N  14.7W      973            66

    0000UTC 14.10.2018   36  42.6N   8.2W      987            45

    1200UTC 14.10.2018   48  46.4N   4.2W      995            40

    0000UTC 15.10.2018   60              CEASED TRACKING



        TROPICAL STORM NADINE     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N  35.6W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 12.10.2018    0  15.9N  35.6W     1003            45

    0000UTC 13.10.2018   12  16.1N  38.2W     1009            38

    1200UTC 13.10.2018   24  16.2N  41.2W     1013            32

    0000UTC 14.10.2018   36              CEASED TRACKING



        TROPICAL STORM SERGIO     ANALYSED POSITION : 26.2N 113.2W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 12.10.2018    0  26.2N 113.2W      996            42

    0000UTC 13.10.2018   12  29.5N 109.5W     1003            24

    1200UTC 13.10.2018   24              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 15.3N 101.8W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 17.10.2018  120  15.3N 101.8W     1005            26

    0000UTC 18.10.2018  132  15.5N 102.4W     1003            30

    1200UTC 18.10.2018  144  15.9N 103.6W     1002            31



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 11.4N 114.4W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 18.10.2018  132  11.9N 114.1W     1006            24

    1200UTC 18.10.2018  144  12.5N 113.9W     1007            22



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 13.1N 136.1W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 18.10.2018  144  12.7N 136.6W     1007            26





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 121556