WTPZ31 KNHC 030236

TCPEP1



BULLETIN

HURRICANE SERGIO ADVISORY NUMBER  15

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212018

800 PM PDT TUE OCT 02 2018



...SERGIO TURNS TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...





SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...11.8N 115.8W

ABOUT 860 MI...1385 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SERGIO WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 115.8 WEST. SERGIO IS MOVING

TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H).  A WEST-

NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE

NEXT FEW DAYS.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 115 MPH (185 KM/H) WITH HIGHER

GUSTS.  SERGIO IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON

HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS, WITH WEAKENING EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON FRIDAY.



HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES (45 KM) FROM THE

CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES

(240 KM).



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB (28.50 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

NONE.





NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM PDT.



....

FORECASTER BLAKE