WTNT82 EGRR 010358 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 01.10.2018 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 33.4N 53.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 01.10.2018 0 33.4N 53.3W 991 40 1200UTC 01.10.2018 12 33.1N 54.1W 989 44 0000UTC 02.10.2018 24 32.8N 55.1W 984 52 1200UTC 02.10.2018 36 31.4N 56.2W 978 55 0000UTC 03.10.2018 48 30.2N 56.5W 972 56 1200UTC 03.10.2018 60 30.1N 56.5W 964 58 0000UTC 04.10.2018 72 30.8N 56.2W 959 62 1200UTC 04.10.2018 84 32.4N 55.8W 955 67 0000UTC 05.10.2018 96 34.1N 55.3W 951 68 1200UTC 05.10.2018 108 35.3N 55.3W 955 67 0000UTC 06.10.2018 120 35.8N 54.3W 955 65 1200UTC 06.10.2018 132 35.8N 53.2W 960 64 0000UTC 07.10.2018 144 35.6N 51.8W 963 61 TROPICAL STORM ROSA ANALYSED POSITION : 25.4N 117.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 01.10.2018 0 25.4N 117.9W 987 43 1200UTC 01.10.2018 12 26.7N 116.7W 996 33 0000UTC 02.10.2018 24 28.0N 115.8W 1001 26 1200UTC 02.10.2018 36 31.3N 114.2W 1005 25 0000UTC 03.10.2018 48 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 107.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 01.10.2018 0 11.4N 107.1W 994 47 1200UTC 01.10.2018 12 10.8N 109.7W 985 54 0000UTC 02.10.2018 24 10.2N 112.1W 981 56 1200UTC 02.10.2018 36 10.7N 114.8W 973 71 0000UTC 03.10.2018 48 11.4N 117.5W 972 78 1200UTC 03.10.2018 60 12.0N 119.5W 970 73 0000UTC 04.10.2018 72 13.1N 121.1W 975 66 1200UTC 04.10.2018 84 14.3N 123.1W 977 61 0000UTC 05.10.2018 96 14.9N 124.9W 976 59 1200UTC 05.10.2018 108 15.4N 126.3W 971 60 0000UTC 06.10.2018 120 16.4N 127.4W 966 67 1200UTC 06.10.2018 132 17.3N 129.1W 968 73 0000UTC 07.10.2018 144 17.9N 130.9W 975 63 TROPICAL STORM WALAKA ANALYSED POSITION : 11.7N 166.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 01.10.2018 0 11.7N 166.4W 990 51 1200UTC 01.10.2018 12 12.0N 168.4W 982 59 0000UTC 02.10.2018 24 12.5N 169.9W 971 59 1200UTC 02.10.2018 36 13.8N 170.3W 970 62 0000UTC 03.10.2018 48 15.8N 170.4W 959 69 1200UTC 03.10.2018 60 18.3N 169.9W 939 83 0000UTC 04.10.2018 72 21.3N 168.3W 927 104 1200UTC 04.10.2018 84 23.8N 166.2W 936 94 0000UTC 05.10.2018 96 27.4N 165.7W 951 73 1200UTC 05.10.2018 108 28.3N 167.6W 967 62 0000UTC 06.10.2018 120 29.2N 167.6W 976 54 1200UTC 06.10.2018 132 29.7N 166.6W 987 45 0000UTC 07.10.2018 144 31.2N 164.0W 993 41 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 35.4N 26.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 04.10.2018 84 35.4N 26.7W 1013 21 0000UTC 05.10.2018 96 35.2N 25.3W 1011 24 1200UTC 05.10.2018 108 35.0N 24.3W 1009 24 0000UTC 06.10.2018 120 34.1N 23.0W 1006 30 1200UTC 06.10.2018 132 35.3N 22.1W 1005 37 0000UTC 07.10.2018 144 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 9.3N 137.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 05.10.2018 96 9.3N 137.3W 1004 24 1200UTC 05.10.2018 108 9.9N 135.5W 1005 26 0000UTC 06.10.2018 120 9.8N 134.5W 1004 26 1200UTC 06.10.2018 132 9.5N 133.0W 1005 28 0000UTC 07.10.2018 144 10.1N 131.3W 1005 29 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 8.1N 147.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.10.2018 108 8.2N 147.6W 1007 26 0000UTC 06.10.2018 120 8.3N 146.7W 1006 23 1200UTC 06.10.2018 132 8.3N 145.8W 1007 20 0000UTC 07.10.2018 144 8.2N 145.3W 1008 18 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 11.0N 33.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.10.2018 108 11.0N 33.1W 1010 27 0000UTC 06.10.2018 120 11.4N 36.2W 1009 28 1200UTC 06.10.2018 132 11.7N 38.5W 1008 29 0000UTC 07.10.2018 144 12.0N 40.6W 1007 33 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 35.3N 26.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 07.10.2018 144 33.2N 27.2W 1006 33 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 14.5N 94.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 07.10.2018 144 14.5N 94.2W 1003 37 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 010358