WTNT82 EGRR 050402 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 05.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.9N 88.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP972018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 05.10.2018 0 13.9N 88.5W 1006 21 1200UTC 05.10.2018 12 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 34.2N 58.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 05.10.2018 0 34.2N 58.1W 982 48 1200UTC 05.10.2018 12 36.2N 58.5W 986 46 0000UTC 06.10.2018 24 36.4N 58.2W 987 51 1200UTC 06.10.2018 36 37.2N 56.9W 986 51 0000UTC 07.10.2018 48 36.7N 54.6W 984 56 1200UTC 07.10.2018 60 36.1N 53.2W 983 55 0000UTC 08.10.2018 72 35.3N 52.8W 984 53 1200UTC 08.10.2018 84 35.0N 51.0W 983 56 0000UTC 09.10.2018 96 33.6N 49.3W 983 55 1200UTC 09.10.2018 108 32.3N 48.6W 981 56 0000UTC 10.10.2018 120 30.9N 48.3W 977 64 1200UTC 10.10.2018 132 30.6N 48.1W 967 65 0000UTC 11.10.2018 144 30.9N 46.2W 956 69 HURRICANE SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 120.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 05.10.2018 0 15.8N 120.2W 945 82 1200UTC 05.10.2018 12 16.1N 121.3W 949 82 0000UTC 06.10.2018 24 15.7N 122.1W 942 82 1200UTC 06.10.2018 36 15.3N 123.3W 949 74 0000UTC 07.10.2018 48 14.9N 124.4W 947 72 1200UTC 07.10.2018 60 14.9N 125.4W 949 71 0000UTC 08.10.2018 72 15.3N 126.3W 946 77 1200UTC 08.10.2018 84 16.1N 126.5W 952 73 0000UTC 09.10.2018 96 17.0N 126.1W 955 66 1200UTC 09.10.2018 108 18.0N 124.9W 956 69 0000UTC 10.10.2018 120 19.1N 123.4W 959 65 1200UTC 10.10.2018 132 20.5N 121.2W 954 71 0000UTC 11.10.2018 144 22.7N 118.6W 967 62 HURRICANE WALAKA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.7N 167.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 05.10.2018 0 29.7N 167.1W 967 60 1200UTC 05.10.2018 12 31.2N 168.3W 979 53 0000UTC 06.10.2018 24 33.0N 167.1W 984 50 1200UTC 06.10.2018 36 36.0N 164.3W 993 44 0000UTC 07.10.2018 48 42.8N 159.8W 996 45 1200UTC 07.10.2018 60 50.0N 151.9W 1006 36 0000UTC 08.10.2018 72 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 26.9N 31.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 06.10.2018 24 26.9N 31.7W 1012 24 1200UTC 06.10.2018 36 26.2N 29.2W 1011 23 0000UTC 07.10.2018 48 26.6N 26.7W 1011 22 1200UTC 07.10.2018 60 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 17.9N 86.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 06.10.2018 36 17.9N 86.9W 1005 27 0000UTC 07.10.2018 48 18.7N 86.5W 1005 27 1200UTC 07.10.2018 60 19.9N 87.2W 1003 35 0000UTC 08.10.2018 72 20.3N 87.1W 1001 34 1200UTC 08.10.2018 84 21.6N 88.4W 1001 35 0000UTC 09.10.2018 96 22.4N 88.4W 1000 33 1200UTC 09.10.2018 108 23.9N 88.6W 999 37 0000UTC 10.10.2018 120 26.0N 88.3W 997 37 1200UTC 10.10.2018 132 28.9N 87.0W 990 49 0000UTC 11.10.2018 144 32.0N 85.2W 979 36 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 9.9N 145.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.10.2018 132 9.9N 145.2W 1007 24 0000UTC 11.10.2018 144 10.6N 144.2W 1006 23 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 050402