WTNT82 EGRR 300359 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 30.09.2018 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 34.2N 51.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 30.09.2018 0 34.2N 51.6W 990 41 1200UTC 30.09.2018 12 33.5N 52.9W 992 36 0000UTC 01.10.2018 24 33.0N 53.4W 992 42 1200UTC 01.10.2018 36 32.8N 54.3W 989 49 0000UTC 02.10.2018 48 32.5N 54.3W 981 56 1200UTC 02.10.2018 60 32.2N 55.1W 975 60 0000UTC 03.10.2018 72 31.1N 54.9W 967 62 1200UTC 03.10.2018 84 31.2N 54.9W 958 65 0000UTC 04.10.2018 96 32.4N 54.1W 954 62 1200UTC 04.10.2018 108 34.2N 53.2W 952 65 0000UTC 05.10.2018 120 36.1N 51.8W 953 61 1200UTC 05.10.2018 132 37.5N 50.4W 959 61 0000UTC 06.10.2018 144 38.4N 47.5W 959 60 HURRICANE ROSA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 118.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 30.09.2018 0 22.0N 118.9W 966 63 1200UTC 30.09.2018 12 24.0N 118.8W 971 62 0000UTC 01.10.2018 24 26.0N 117.6W 982 50 1200UTC 01.10.2018 36 27.5N 116.3W 993 36 0000UTC 02.10.2018 48 28.7N 115.1W 1001 28 1200UTC 02.10.2018 60 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 103.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 30.09.2018 0 12.2N 103.3W 1003 28 1200UTC 30.09.2018 12 11.8N 105.9W 1002 28 0000UTC 01.10.2018 24 11.5N 108.0W 997 36 1200UTC 01.10.2018 36 10.8N 110.4W 989 46 0000UTC 02.10.2018 48 10.9N 112.7W 980 62 1200UTC 02.10.2018 60 11.3N 115.4W 971 76 0000UTC 03.10.2018 72 12.2N 117.9W 978 62 1200UTC 03.10.2018 84 12.6N 120.1W 975 66 0000UTC 04.10.2018 96 13.6N 121.7W 975 63 1200UTC 04.10.2018 108 15.0N 123.5W 978 55 0000UTC 05.10.2018 120 16.3N 125.9W 976 60 1200UTC 05.10.2018 132 16.9N 127.1W 974 62 0000UTC 06.10.2018 144 18.1N 128.6W 972 64 TROPICAL STORM WALAKA ANALYSED POSITION : 11.7N 160.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012018 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 30.09.2018 0 11.7N 160.4W 1002 44 1200UTC 30.09.2018 12 11.4N 163.8W 998 42 0000UTC 01.10.2018 24 11.7N 166.2W 989 52 1200UTC 01.10.2018 36 12.2N 168.5W 980 57 0000UTC 02.10.2018 48 13.4N 169.9W 968 65 1200UTC 02.10.2018 60 14.7N 170.6W 963 67 0000UTC 03.10.2018 72 16.4N 170.8W 952 70 1200UTC 03.10.2018 84 18.8N 169.7W 938 88 0000UTC 04.10.2018 96 21.7N 168.0W 932 89 1200UTC 04.10.2018 108 24.5N 165.6W 936 89 0000UTC 05.10.2018 120 27.5N 166.0W 960 63 1200UTC 05.10.2018 132 28.0N 166.6W 972 61 0000UTC 06.10.2018 144 29.5N 166.1W 974 56 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 11.7N 129.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 03.10.2018 84 11.7N 129.0W 1005 27 0000UTC 04.10.2018 96 10.6N 128.3W 1002 33 1200UTC 04.10.2018 108 10.5N 126.1W 1001 47 0000UTC 05.10.2018 120 16.3N 125.9W 976 60 1200UTC 05.10.2018 132 16.9N 127.1W 974 62 0000UTC 06.10.2018 144 18.1N 128.6W 972 64 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 33.6N 26.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 04.10.2018 108 33.6N 26.5W 1013 20 0000UTC 05.10.2018 120 33.3N 25.6W 1012 18 1200UTC 05.10.2018 132 32.6N 24.6W 1012 21 0000UTC 06.10.2018 144 31.7N 24.2W 1012 20 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 8.1N 151.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.10.2018 132 8.1N 151.8W 1007 23 0000UTC 06.10.2018 144 8.1N 151.4W 1006 24 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 300359