WTNT82 EGRR 150356



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 15.10.2018



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.8N  81.4W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 15.10.2018    0  12.8N  81.4W     1009            20

    1200UTC 15.10.2018   12              CEASED TRACKING



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22E        ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N 104.2W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP222018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 15.10.2018    0  17.3N 104.2W     1004            26

    1200UTC 15.10.2018   12  18.0N 104.5W     1003            34

    0000UTC 16.10.2018   24  19.0N 104.5W     1004            26

    1200UTC 16.10.2018   36              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.7N  93.8W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 17.10.2018   60  14.7N  93.8W     1003            39

    0000UTC 18.10.2018   72  15.0N  94.5W      999            39

    1200UTC 18.10.2018   84  15.3N  95.9W     1002            43

    0000UTC 19.10.2018   96              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 11.9N 115.1W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 18.10.2018   72  12.1N 114.9W     1006            25

    1200UTC 18.10.2018   84  12.5N 114.7W     1005            31

    0000UTC 19.10.2018   96  13.1N 114.8W     1004            30

    1200UTC 19.10.2018  108  13.9N 114.4W     1004            30

    0000UTC 20.10.2018  120  14.4N 114.1W     1003            32

    1200UTC 20.10.2018  132  14.7N 113.2W     1003            34

    0000UTC 21.10.2018  144  14.9N 111.6W     1003            35



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 12.0N 136.7W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 18.10.2018   84  12.1N 137.3W     1007            23

    0000UTC 19.10.2018   96  12.3N 138.5W     1006            24

    1200UTC 19.10.2018  108  12.4N 139.7W     1006            26

    0000UTC 20.10.2018  120  12.9N 141.3W     1005            25

    1200UTC 20.10.2018  132  13.1N 142.7W     1005            27

    0000UTC 21.10.2018  144  12.9N 144.0W     1003            27



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 17.7N 103.8W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 19.10.2018  108  17.7N 103.8W     1003            36

    0000UTC 20.10.2018  120  18.1N 105.5W      997            40

    1200UTC 20.10.2018  132  18.3N 106.4W      991            46

    0000UTC 21.10.2018  144  18.6N 107.0W      989            48





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 150356