WTPZ22 KNHC 160232 RRA

TCMEP2



TROPICAL STORM TARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222018

0300 UTC TUE OCT 16 2018



CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...



THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH

BETWEEN MANZANILLO AND CABO CORRIENTES TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.



SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

. MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO



A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...

... EAST OF MANZANILLO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO MEXICO



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN

THE NEXT 24 HOURS.



A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24

HOURS.



TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 104.6W AT 16/0300Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   2 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.

50 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.

34 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.

12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 104.6W AT 16/0300Z

AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 104.5W



FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.7N 104.8W

MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.

34 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.



FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.0N 105.4W

MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.