WTPZ32 KNHC 142033 RRA

TCPEP2



BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222018

400 PM CDT SUN OCT 14 2018



...DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO...

................HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN

    MEXICO...





SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...17.4N 104.1W

ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION

TWENTY-TWO-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 104.1

WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH

(11 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A TURN

TOWARD THE WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS

FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. ON THE

FORECAST TRACK, THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE AWAY FROM

MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER

GUSTS.  A SHIP LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION

RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 35 MPH (55 KM/H).  GRADUAL

STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND THE

DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT OR

EARLY MONDAY.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).