WTPZ32 KNHC 151431 RRA

TCPEP2



BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM TARA ADVISORY NUMBER   5

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222018

1000 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2018



...TARA STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY WHILE DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

................HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN

    MEXICO...





SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...17.6N 104.4W

ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:



NONE.



SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:



A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...

.............. PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES



A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.



FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR

PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.





DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TARA WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST. TARA IS

MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH (2 KM/H) AND THIS SLOW

MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  A SLIGHTLY

FASTER WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN AFTER MID-WEEK. ON THE

FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF TARA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR

JUST OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT

COUPLE OF DAYS.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH

HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW