WTPZ32 KNHC 162033 RRA

TCPEP2



BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TARA ADVISORY NUMBER  10

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222018

400 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2018



...TINY TARA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...

...............TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND WATCH DISCONTINUED...

...............LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO CONTINUE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE

    COASTAL

AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...





SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...19.0N 105.0W

ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:



THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM

WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.



SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:



THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TARA WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 105.0 WEST. THE

DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH (4 KM/H).  A

VERY SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR

SO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF TARA SHOULD PASS VERY

CLOSE TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, OR POSSIBLY MOVE INLAND,

TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH

HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS TARA'S CIRCULATION

INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, AND THE SYSTEM

IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT OR ON