WTPZ33 KNHC 201444 RRA

TCPEP3



BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM VICENTE ADVISORY NUMBER   5

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP232018

1000 AM CDT SAT OCT 20 2018



...SMALL-SIZED VICENTE FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD...

....HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...





SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...14.3N 93.6W

ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WSW OF TAPACHULA MEXICO

ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD

MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF VICENTE.





DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST. VICENTE IS

MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL TRACK

WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT

36 TO 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME, A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS

ANTICIPATED.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48

HOURS.



TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES (35 KM)

FROM THE CENTER.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB (29.68 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

RAINFALL:  THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, VICENTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE