WTNT82 EGRR 231556



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 23.10.2018



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION VICENTE    ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 102.3W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP232018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 23.10.2018    0  18.0N 102.3W     1006            59

    0000UTC 24.10.2018   12              CEASED TRACKING



             HURRICANE WILLA      ANALYSED POSITION : 21.0N 107.2W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP242018



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 23.10.2018    0  21.0N 107.2W      980            60

    0000UTC 24.10.2018   12  22.5N 106.1W      984            53

    1200UTC 24.10.2018   24              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 12.8N 115.9W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 24.10.2018   24  13.2N 116.0W     1008            25

    0000UTC 25.10.2018   36  13.4N 115.8W     1008            25

    1200UTC 25.10.2018   48  13.5N 116.7W     1009            23

    0000UTC 26.10.2018   60  13.3N 117.6W     1008            22

    1200UTC 26.10.2018   72              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 26.1N  47.8W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 27.10.2018   96  26.4N  49.1W     1004            38

    0000UTC 28.10.2018  108  25.8N  52.3W     1002            34

    1200UTC 28.10.2018  120  25.2N  54.1W     1001            40

    0000UTC 29.10.2018  132  25.5N  57.2W     1001            35

    1200UTC 29.10.2018  144  25.5N  59.4W     1002            31



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.5N 160.8W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 28.10.2018  108  13.9N 161.2W     1005            28

    1200UTC 28.10.2018  120  14.7N 161.5W     1006            30

    0000UTC 29.10.2018  132  15.2N 162.0W     1006            29

    1200UTC 29.10.2018  144  16.2N 162.0W     1006            31





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 231556